Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 14.391071 16.251073 18.274709 20.642211 23.339068 26.318918 29.865832
2025-02-16 10.791786 13.137308 15.899094 19.400349 23.734371 28.940564 35.694804
2025-02-23 8.611331 11.157852 14.360701 18.705320 24.476983 31.925260 42.337176
2025-03-02 7.161496 9.784702 13.274958 18.293207 25.380831 35.118381 49.656634
2025-03-09 6.181095 8.844625 12.567217 18.201026 26.601996 38.807348 58.142129
2025-03-16 5.416685 8.073470 11.951892 18.095790 27.714155 42.410400 66.978064
2025-03-23 4.982950 7.711795 11.859171 18.714337 29.946005 47.940505 79.594987
2025-03-30 4.500812 7.203671 11.462425 18.776152 31.262833 52.149280 90.645475
2025-04-06 4.002097 6.601639 10.832716 18.354587 31.685938 54.879907 99.499042
2025-04-13 3.602479 6.111385 10.320249 18.048613 32.235555 57.851201 109.171151
2025-04-20 3.390852 5.913293 10.272911 18.538720 34.251566 63.693459 125.133498
2025-04-27 3.217277 5.759813 10.280838 19.119627 36.495176 70.237893 143.493296
2025-05-04 2.989803 5.491893 10.066780 19.285139 38.018234 75.711824 160.837777
2025-05-11 2.712173 5.101526 9.584413 18.874317 38.345707 78.847935 173.773830
2025-05-18 2.477556 4.767877 9.173182 18.553537 38.814002 82.344556 188.143749
2025-05-25 2.278368 4.481956 8.823272 18.313289 39.416835 86.211531 204.060910
2025-06-01 2.124017 4.269187 8.595969 18.301809 40.515532 91.335683 223.934742
2025-06-08 1.979977 4.062217 8.357541 18.234575 41.474831 96.272299 244.242694
2025-06-15 1.912268 4.007997 8.433613 18.877396 44.175472 105.750226 278.168737
2025-06-22 1.802076 3.850883 8.270436 18.949033 45.511764 112.075755 304.803608
2025-06-29 1.663861 3.618396 7.916698 18.527664 45.568935 115.162300 322.947581
2025-07-06 1.547291 3.422788 7.625553 18.220656 45.869829 118.916660 343.726786
2025-07-13 1.495753 3.370492 7.658127 18.716748 48.332356 128.850320 385.048959